Overview

This working paper examines the varied impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on U.S. cities and metropolitan areas. Using recent data, the paper studies how the pandemic affected different urban issue areas, including population and job growth, economic strength, crime rates, public transit use, gentrification, and the health of office and retail markets. The study also looks ahead to 2030 to project which cities might experience lasting changes due to the pandemic and identifies key urban planning and policy challenges that city officials will face.

Key Message

The COVID-19 pandemic has had diverse and uneven impacts on U.S. cities. While cities like New York and San Francisco continue to struggle, others such as Austin and Phoenix have shown resilience and recovery. The pandemic exposed and, in some cases, exacerbated existing urban challenges, including housing affordability, crime rates, and public transit usage. Looking ahead to 2030, the report suggests that urban areas must adapt to these changes by rethinking planning and management strategies. Urban planners and policymakers face significant challenges, such as addressing increases in crime and reusing vacant office spaces, which will require innovative and bold approaches. Additionally, longstanding issues like restrictive housing policies will need new coalitions and unpopular decisions to be effectively managed. The report emphasizes the need for cities to leverage their strengths and resources to navigate these challenges, promoting sustainable and inclusive growth through strategic planning and collaborative efforts.